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Alabama Slammers Franchise Report - Year 10: Ten Year Review

Welcome back to year ten of the Alabama Slammers Franchise Report! Here are the links to the previous versions if you want to catch up (2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029).
We had another good year last season, finishing 98-64. That was good enough for the second-best record in the league but only second in the division, so we missed out on the playoffs. Hopefully, we can maintain a similar record and make the playoffs this year.
As with the previous versions, I’ll list the moves I made, the rationale behind those moves, the season results, and the future outlook.
Here are the salaries heading into the offseason.
\Unless stated otherwise, all players were re-signed to their one-year arbitration estimate*
Departures (non-trades):
Edwin Aguirre
Aguirre is a good defender but can’t cut it at the plate in the majors. I doubt he gets called up again.
Franyel Baez
Baez gave us six good years, but I decided it was time to part ways. He signed a minor league deal with the Orioles and did well when he played, but I doubt he’ll ever get the opportunity to be a full-time starter again.
Will Shirah
Shirah had a $10m arbitration estimate and was coming off an injury plagued season, so I decided to let him walk. He signed a minor league deal with the Dodgers and ended up starting 138 games for them. He was decent but I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t get another shot next year.
Hee-joon Bang
Bang was great during his three-year tenure with us, but I didn’t feel comfortable paying a 36-year-old as much as he wanted. He signed a 2/$24m deal with the Angels and played well, but not nearly as good as his previous two seasons.
David Bednar
I was scared off by Bednar’s age and regression, so let him leave as a free agent. He signed with the rival Braves and did well.
Corbin Clouse
Clouse was decent last year but I decided to let him leave as a free agent since he’s getting pretty old. He signed with San Diego and played well, but they put him on waivers, and he was claimed by Pittsburgh. I feel like he’s got to fall off a cliff sooner than later.
Blake Taylor
Taylor had too many injuries for my liking last season, so I decided to let him walk. He signed with Boston and was passable.
Move #1:
Signed free agent Chang-hyeok Kim to a 5/$30m contract. The fifth year is a team option with a $1m buyout.
I’m breaking a lot of my rules by signing Kim. He’s an old reliever with bad character, and I signed him to a long-term deal. If this doesn’t work out, I shouldn’t be too surprised. Hopefully, the other guys can keep him in line.
Move #2:
Signed free agent Ali Sanchez to a 2/$3m contract. The second year is a team option with a $500k buyout.
Sanchez will take the backup catcher role. Hopefully, he doesn’t fall off a cliff midseason.
Final Financial Situation:
We have about $26m in budget room to start the year, so we shouldn’t have any issues signing draft picks and an international amateur.
Here are the salaries heading into the season.
Season Outlook:
We didn’t do much this offseason, but I don’t think we needed to. We had the second-best record in baseball last year and brought back most of the team. We have some young guys that are going to get a shot and hopefully some of them break out.
If we stay healthy, I think we’ll win 90+ games and compete for the division, and if we make the playoffs, I like our chances as much as anyone else.
If you read last year’s version, you might remember my top prospect Chris West. His ratings have continued to explode, and he looks ready for the majors. I’m very excited to see what a true ace can do with our defense, but I’m going to try to keep him in the minors the first month or two.
Batters:
Primary Lineup vs. RHP when Healthy (\DH enabled in both leagues)*
1B – Ernesto Bernal
I wish I would’ve put Bernal in the leadoff spot a few years ago, he’s been excellent here the last two seasons. He had his best season yet, making his first all-star team. He thinks he should be in the middle of the lineup, but he’s wrong. I guess my scout misevaluated his intelligence rating.
LF – Jeisson Rosario
Rosario has been with us since day one. He bounced back and forth between the majors and minors the first few years, but he’s been a solid starter the last six seasons. I’m tempted to re-sign him, but it’s probably time to give some of my young guys a shot.
3B – Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tatis came back with a vengeance this season. He was an all-star starter, won batter of the month in June, and won the platinum stick award at third base. He probably had the best season in franchise history, which is saying a lot since Ohtani won two MVPs, but he came up short of winning the award himself. He finished third behind Bovain and Torres.
Tatis has two years remaining on his deal and should be back.
DH – Robby Teeter
Teeter wasn’t as good as his first two seasons, but still had a really good year, making his third all-star team. His arbitration estimate is close to $12m and he had seven weeks of day-to-day injuries, so he might get moved in the next couple of seasons.
RF – Andrew McGee
I had a feeling McGee wasn’t going to last long in the league. He had durable injury proneness coming out of the draft, but quickly racked up leg injuries and saw his proneness drop to normal. He suffered a torn PCL in August and will be out until June of next year.
This is why you need to pay close attention to injury histories, instead of only relying on injury proneness ratings. Injury proneness is an average of their individual injury ratings, so it won’t tell you if a guy is highly susceptible in only one category.
I’ll trade him as soon as I can. Hopefully, he still has some value.
2B – Josh Epps
I’m starting to wonder if Epps is completely out of secret sauce. He’ll return due to his character and defense, but I’m not expecting anything offensively going forward. This is part of the reason I don’t like signing young guys to long-term deals.
C – Drew Romo
Romo continues to be excellent defensively and competent at the plate. He’s an upcoming free agent that wants 4/$52m to re-sign, so I’m going to let him enter free agency. I have a feeling I can get him for a much better price on the open market.
SS – Willie Vega
Vega had another great season but missed out on winning a fifth straight gold glove. His last arbitration estimate is close to $15m and I’ll probably bring him back since I don’t know where I can get a comparable replacement.
I’m not crazy about signing a guy without positive character attributes to a long -term deal, so he’ll probably leave as a free agent after next season. It’s tempting to go ahead and trade him now, but I’m perfectly fine getting a compensation pick. I trust in my ability to draft good players.
CF – Joey Hudson
Hudson is probably the best center fielder in our franchise’s ten-year history. He’ll be back next season.
Bench
C – Ali Sanchez
Sanchez provided exactly what I wanted in a backup catcher. I’ll pick up his team option for next season.
IF – Josh Berkner
I was hoping Berkner could improve to a league average hitter, but I’m fine what he provides. He plays five positions and has the prankster personality trait.
OF – Tim Mehler
Mehler can’t really hit but is an ace defender. He backed up all three outfield positions and saved a lot of runs.
Replacements
OF – Oscar Trevino
Trevino filled in for McGee for a few weeks in May and wasn’t very good. I’m not giving up on him though, he’ll get another chance if injuries arise next year.
IF – Manny Monzon
Monzon filled in for Epps when he missed five weeks. His defense was so good he had positive WAR while posting an OPS+ of 50. This might be my Vega replacement after next year.
OF – Mike Startzel
Startzel was drafted last season and started in the majors just a year later. He played well and will probably be the starter next season.
Pitchers:
Pitching Staff when Healthy
SP – Hunter Mink
Mink had another great year, leading the team in pitching WAR. I have two more years of team control, but his arbitration estimate is $13.1m and he’s getting close to 30 years old. I might go ahead and move him while his trade value is still high.
SP – Giles Palacios
Palacios had a great third season with us, starting the all-star game and finishing second in the Cy Young voting. If I’m going to extend one of my pitchers, he’ll probably be the one, but it depends what the rest of the financials looks like.
SP – Pat Dibartolo
Dibartolo is a really good pitcher, but probably the worst two-time Cy Young winner I’ve ever seen. He won the award this year despite being the third best pitcher on the team. He’s still really good though, and extremely popular, so he’ll be around for a while.
SP – Rawley Hector
Hector was passable this year but demoted to make room for my star pitching prospect. He might get another look next season if I move on from Mink.
SP – Sean Whiteman
Whiteman wasn’t as good as I wanted but I think he’ll be better in his second full season.
RP – Chris Ryan
Last year I was worried Ryan’s ratings would stall out, but he’s progressed nicely. His performance was slightly worse this season, although I’m not too worried. There’s a lot of variance with relief pitchers.
RP – Connor Jones
Jones had a good year, but his ratings have slipped and I’m going to decline his team option.
RP – Ludwin Jimenez
Jimenez was decent but I had a to make room to call up my phenom reliever, and he was the odd man out. He might be back next year.
RP – Mike Ruhs
Ruhs is really good and will be back for many years.
RP – Taylor Guilbeau
Guilbeau had a good year but his ratings started falling fast at the end of the season. I’m going to decline his team option.
RP – Sam Lauderdale
Lauderdale continues to be a steady presence in the bullpen and will return next year.
RP – Joe McKinney
McKinney played well and his ratings have improved since last season. I’m expecting big things from him next year.
RP – Chang-hyeok Kim
Year one of the Chang-hyeok Kim experiment was a success. He made the all-star team and won reliever of the year. I’m probably going to go ahead and move him though. His ratings have slipped slightly since his signing and I have a new guy that makes him redundant. Hopefully, I can get an asset for him, but I’ll settle for a salary dump.
RP – Cooper Benson
Benson was pushed out of the rotation due to better options but could return to a starting role next year. It’s always nice to have pitching depth like this.
Replacements
SP – Chris West
I kept West in the minors as long as I could then put him in the starting rotation in June. He did well for a 21-year-old rookie and should be even better next year.
SP – Josh Sheppard
It took a while, but the return from the Jack Flaherty trade finally made his major league debut. He made nine starts, posting an FIP of 3.16, and will be in the rotation next season.
RP – Corey MacDonald
I’m really not sure what to do with MacDonald. He worked as a starter in AA, winning the pitcher of the year award, then moved to the bullpen when called up and dominated as a reliever. I wouldn’t hesitate to put him in the rotation if his slider was rated above 45, but the lack of a third pitch and a questionable stamina/hold runners combo has me doubtful he can start.
RP – Tommy Noonan
If you don’t click on any other profile in this write up, click on this one. Noonan is unreal. He faced 48 batters and struck out 25 of them. If he continues at this rate, he’ll be the greatest reliever of all time.
Season Results:
We started the year strong, going 25-15 our first 40 games, and never let up. We clinched the division with fifteen games remaining and had a record of 106-56. This was our best team yet and I really liked our chances heading into the playoffs. We had four good starting pitchers, a dominant bullpen, and three elite batters.
Our first-round opponent was the 86-76 Giants, led by Jack Flaherty, Joey Bart, Luis Robert, and Danny Hoover. They had a solid team, but nowhere near as good as ours.
We started off the series strong, winning game one 8-2. Palacios struck out ten and gave up one earned over seven innings, and the offense came through with three homers. We were still rolling in game two, up 4-2 in the eighth, then our young stud reliever Macdonald gave up a two-run shot to tie the game 4-4, followed by our other hot-shot reliever Noonan giving up a go-ahead solo shot in the tenth. They held on to win game two 5-4. We looked to get back on track in game three, but the offense sputtered, and we lost 3-1. The offense continued to struggle, scoring two runs total the next two games, and they closed out the series.
We went from postseason favorites to knocked out 4-1 in the first round. Good times. Then, to add insult to injury, we were as many steps removed from the championship as possible.
Here are the rest of the playoff results and MLB standings.
On a positive note, my contract was extended for three years. I’m a long way removed from worrying about whether or not I’m going to be fired. I honestly didn’t even know my contract was expiring.
Top Prospects:
There are a lot of new faces this year since seven players from last season’s list were promoted to the majors. There are a couple of guys I don’t love at the bottom of the list but a great draft this year has restocked the talent at the top.
1.) Andy Schaffer
For the second year in a row, I’ve had a pitcher get a huge ratings boost and jump to the number one spot. Last season it was Chris West and this time it’s Andy Schaffer. The big difference between the two is that West was already a good prospect before jumping to number one, but Schaffer wasn’t even on my radar last season. When I made the rankings last year, I was going off Schaffer’s 5/19/2029 scouting report, which had him as a 20-potential player, but his ratings have exploded since then. His control and stuff have improved significantly, and he’s added a really good sinker. I had no clue he’d become this when I drafted him, I really just took a flier on his high movement. He’ll begin next season at A+.
2.) Edwin Mireles
Mireles might be my first successful international amateur free agent signing in five years. He had a solid season in rookie ball and his potential has held steady. His defensive ratings improved slightly and I’m hoping they can get even better. I’ll probably move him to A- next season.
3.) Dave Codes
Codes had a great year in rookie ball and looks like he’ll be a legitimate masher in a few seasons. He’ll start next year in A or A+.
4.) Chris Dearborn
The next three players on the list were all taken in this year’s draft and are a huge reason our minor league system is in such good shape. If Dearborn’s changeup develops, he’ll be a top starter, and I like his chances due to his high work ethic and durability.
He had an “impossible” signing bonus demand, so I was able to scoop him up in the fifth round. He agreed to sign for $10m.
5.) Eddie Copping
I don’t love Copping’s movement, but he had the best combination of character, durability, and talent on the board. He had a great season in rookie ball and will begin next year in A+.
6.) Bobby Butler
Butler had a solid season in rookie ball and will probably begin next season in A-. He has a good chance of becoming an MLB starter if he can stay healthy.
7.) Josh Snellgrove
Snellgrove had a good year in A+ and I’ll probably start him in AAA next season as the first injury replacement. His defense has rounded out since last year, but it looks like his talent might’ve capped out. Hopefully, he has something extra in the tank.
8.) Josh Boston
If Boston reaches his full potential, he’ll be a very useful player. Hopefully, his leadership improves at some point.
9.) Josh McBride
McBride really only has the potential to be a utility player, but there’s nothing wrong with that. He’ll start next season at AA, and I’ll start training him at different positions.
10.) Steve Flores
Flores doesn’t look to have enough hitting potential to survive in the majors, but his defense and character might get him there. He’ll start next season at A+.
Promoted to MLB:
Chris West, Josh Sheppard, Joey Hudson, Joe McKinney, Tommy Noonan, Corey MacDonald, Oscar Trevino
Dropped from list:
Josh Langdon
Langdon has developed nicely since last season but I’m out on him. I don’t trust fragile pitchers, so he’ll be traded.
Future Outlook:
It’s always disappointing when your 100+ win team gets knocked out in the first round, but the franchise is in a great position overall. We have lots of talent at every level of the organization, no bad contracts, and good fan interest/loyalty. I would love to win another championship, but I think we’re doing pretty good for a team that didn’t exist ten years ago.
The books are getting a bit tighter, so I’ll probably have to move a few of our key contributors, but I think we have enough minor league depth to keep rolling.
Here is the budget and salaries heading into the offseason.
Ten Year Review:
The transition from “scrappy expansion team trying to compete with the big boys” to “legitimate perennial contender” has been exciting. We’ve had multiple thrilling pennant races and an amazing World Series run. We started off with a team full of rookies and veteran castoffs, and no farm system, but now have talent up and down the organization. I’m very happy with where we’re at.
I was interested to see where our players and production have come from over the last ten years, so I decided to plot it out. Here’s the percentage of players by acquisition type and the percentage of total WAR by acquisition type. Unsurprisingly, we’ve relied less and less on expansion and rule 5 draft players and started filling out the team with draft picks. The bulk of our production still comes from players acquired in trades, but I’m hoping that changes over the next few years. I really hope we can develop that home grown superstar sooner than later.
I was also interested to see who the top players were for the first decade, so I ranked the top-five position players, starting pitchers, and relievers by total WAR and then by single season WAR. The rankings are below:
\Total WAR Player profiles are from the most recent season with team*
Top 5 Position Players by Total WAR
1.) Shohei Ohtani (6 Seasons, 29.9 WAR)
2.) Willie Vega (5 Seasons, 22.1 WAR)
3.) Jeisson Rosario (10 Seasons, 19 WAR)
4.) Nick Gordon (7 Seasons, 17.7 WAR)
5.) Ernesto Bernal (6 Seasons, 14.7 WAR)
Top 5 Position Player Seasons by WAR
1.) 2030 Fernando Tatis Jr. (9 WAR)
2.) 2023 Shohei Ohtani (8.2 WAR)
3.) 2027 Shohei Ohtani (6.6 WAR)
4.) 2022 Nolan Arenado (5.9 WAR)
5.) 2029 Willie Vega (5.7 WAR)
Top 5 Starting Pitchers by Total WAR
1.) Hunter Mink (4 Seasons, 16 WAR)
2.) Jack Flaherty (3 Seasons, 13.7 WAR)
2.) Jose Paulino (5 Seasons, 13.7 WAR)
4.) Pat Dibartolo (4 Seasons, 11.9 WAR)
5.) Justin Steele (7 Seasons, 11.4 WAR)
Top 5 Starting Pitcher Seasons by WAR
1.) 2024 Jack Flaherty (5.2 WAR)
2.) 2030 Hunter Mink (5 WAR)
3.) 2026 Jose Paulino (4.9 WAR)
4.) 2028 Hunter Mink (4.6 WAR)
4.) 2030 Gilles Palacios (4.6 WAR)
Top 5 Relievers by Total WAR
1.) Hee-joon Bang (3 Seasons, 10.1 WAR)
2.) Blake Taylor (7 Seasons, 9.6 WAR)
3.) Argenis Angulo (6 Seasons, 6 WAR)
4.) Jordan Alvarez (2 Seasons, 5.2 WAR)
5.) Connor Jones (5 Seasons, 5.2 WAR)
Top 5 Reliever Seasons by WAR
1.) 2028 Hee-joon Bang (3.9 WAR)
1.) 2029 Hee-joon Bang (3.9 WAR)
3.) 2026 Jordan Alvarez (3.4 WAR)
4.) 2030 Chang-hyeok Kim (2.9 WAR)
5.) 2025 Ben Bowden (2.8 WAR)
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DraftKings Milly Maker Report: Weeks 13-15

What’s up party people and non-party people it’s that time for the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings Milly Maker Report. If this is your first time joining the report, that’s your mistake but welcome anyway. The purpose of the report is to find trends and strategies that we can apply to the Milly Maker and tournaments in general. There are links to every post in the series at the bottom of this post.
One other thing real quick: The NBA season is here! If you’ve enjoyed the success of Team Rise or Fall through the MLB and NFL seasons get ready for more $$$. If you haven’t signed up with us yet now is the time. Make sure to check out our DraftKings and Fanduel NBA Strategy Guide to get you ready for the season.
All of the information below comes via the Fantasy Cruncher Pro Lineup Study feature. It allows you to look back at years worth of information. Lineup Study is a really valuable tool and I wouldn’t be able to write a Milly Maker report without its help.
Now, on to the Milly Maker Report!

📷

Check out ROF Bets for Player Props, Parlays, and Monkey Knife Fight Picks!

Using Vegas Odds to Win the Milly Maker

One of the most consistent trends I found from analyzing two years’ worth of Milly Makers is that 76% of the milly winning quarterbacks came from games within the top five for implied totals on the slate. Yes, it makes sense that you want guys from high scoring games, but it’s not always guys from the game with the highest implied total.
So as life goes of course Week 13 featured a quarterback outside of the top five but weeks 14 and 15 held to the trend. For the season 12 out of 15 weeks (80%) have seen a quarterback from within the top five for implied totals on the slate take down a Milly Maker. It’s honestly the easiest place to start when building your lineups.

Targeting Offenses and Defenses to Win the Milly Maker

I’m recycling this one more time because I think it’s super important: Analyzing 34 slates over 2018 and 2019 showed there were 10 different quarterbacks that won the Milly Maker in the 2018 NFL regular season and 14 different quarterbacks in the 2019 regular season. What I’m trying to hammer home is that you don’t have to use every QB on the slate. And in fact, you can see less than half of the quarterbacks win a Milly Maker in a given season.
So how’s 2020 going? In the first half of the 2020 season... Read the rest for FREE here: https://teamriseorfall.com/2020/12/23/draftkings-milly-maker-report-weeks-13-15/
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MLB Sports Betting Breakdown - Tuesday, September 8th, 2020

MLB Bets from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
I provide the breakdown and you decide if you want to parlay the games, bet them money line, run line, etc. Saturday we hit a nice +600 parlay with Nationals +250 and over 9.5 then followed that up with a 4-0 day. Yesterday, we got the Padres but it was a tight game so not proud of it, Braves blew the leading bringing in a RP with an ERA over 7 and they still had several chance to win and couldn’t get it done. Cleveland easily won as expected. We had Houston moneyline parlayed with over 9 for a +330 parlay but due to the last minute pitching change we got a “no action” in our book and it was refunded. I always look for the solid games to bet and then sprinkle out some 3-5 team parlays to make the night exciting.
GAMES TO CONSIDER BETTING:
CLEVELAND (-210) OVER KC – I like Junis as a pitcher for my hometown Royals and he hasn’t given up more then 2 ER in his last 3 starts but he also hasn’t went more than 4.2 innings. His xFIP is 5.32 and he is allowing a .292 batting average. Now the reason that is key is because his BABIP is .308 so right in line with the league average (per Fangraphs). If his BABIP was .400 I would tell you that he is “unlucky” and regression is coming but allowing a .292 with average BABIP that is the kind of year he is having. Bullpen for KC ranks 22nd and they are allowing a .257 average on it’s own. CLE is 4th in our L10 game power rankings, and scoring around 5.0 runs per game over the last two weeks. McKenzie is holding onto a strong 1.69 ERA through 3 starts and just faced KC in KC and went 6.0 innings, 3 hits, 0 ER and 6 strikeouts. So far this year in those 3 starts he has 16.0 innings, 3 ERs and 19 strikeouts. So after McKenzie tosses his 5-6 innings of work they gave to face the #3 bullpen in the league that is allowing a low .212 batting average, 0.71 H9 and 1.07 whip. I also want to add in that CLE has faced Junis as a team for 120 Abs and they are hitting a whopping .375 off him with low 13% strikeout rate. Lindor is 17 for 34 with 4 HRs off Junis. CLE is 14-6 in their last 20 games and KC is 5-15. Indians for the win!
CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-125) over PIT – I can’t figure out why this line so low. Yes, PIT is better at home with a wRC+ jumping from 57.3 on the road to 85.2 but that is still horrible and below the 100 average mark. White Sox have a wRC+ of 113.8 on the road and 107.5 vs. RHP. White Sox also have the better bullpen ranking 6th vs. the 19th of PIT. CHW are scoring 6.0 runs per game vs. 3.8 of PIT over the last 14 days, team batting average .277 vs. 214, wRC+ 118 vs. 69 and their OBP+ISO is 100 points higher. Our model has this game with CHW 5.2 vs. PIT 4.5, Vegas has this projected at CHW 5.0 vs. PIT 4.5 so we have this somewhere around a -150 or -160 line instead of -125. Cease is by far not a favorite pitcher of mine but he has been serviceable with an ERA of 3.29 and allowing a .232 average. I will point out that he walks a shit ton of batters so that can get him in trouble quickly. He has 14 walks in his last 4 starts! His xFIP is 5.85 and BABIP is way under average at .224 meaning he is not a 3.29 ERA pitcher and he is more of a 4-5 ERA pitcher. However, he has a better pen behind him and has been getting it done. Joe Musgrove is in the same boat here where he isn’t a great pitcher but he has been serviceable for the Pirates. His last start after coming off the IL was 3.0 innings, 2 ER and 4 Ks. Prior to going on the IL he went 3.1 innings, 5 ERs, 5 WALKS and 2 Ks. He is rocking a 6.62 ERA this year and allowing a .269 average. I don’t think either pitcher is great and they both have their flaws but the CHW have the better bullpen and much better lineup to provide the run support needed. Our model has CHW 5.2 vs. PIT 3.6.
DETROIT TIGERS (+140) vs. MILW – Vegas has this game projected at 4.6 to 3.9 with MIL winning and our model has DET winning 4.4 to 3.9 so almost flipped. Both teams have decent bull pens ranking 10th (DET) and 4th (MIL). DET is a much better hitting team right now ranking 6th in L10 power rankings and over the last 14 days they are 7th in runs per game, 1st in team batting average, 11th in OBP+ISO and 7th in wRC+. MIL sits at 24th in L10 power rankings and over the last 14 days they are 24th in runs per game, 21st in team batting average, 19th in OBP+ISO and 19th in wRC+. Tigers are the hotter team right now and both teams are 9-11 in their last 20 games. Now we have looked at the teams let’s look at the starting pitchers. Adrian Houser (MIL) is coming off his most recent start vs. this DET team and went 5.0 innings but got shelled for 5 ER on 9 hits and only struckout 2 guys. Housers last 3 starts he has given up 5, 4, and 4 ER and allowing a .299 average on the year. Last year he only allowed a .244 average so while he is working out the rust let’s take advantage of him! DET is rolling out Spencer Turnbull who on paper looks great with a 3.89 ERA and .197 allowed batting average but I just get a bad feeling about him. He was a rock star in the early part of the season and then has recently fell of a cliff that the season stats don’t show. He has walked 16 batters in his last 4 starts and allowed 8 ERs in his last 13 innings across 3 starts. He just faced this MIL team and went 4.1 – 5 ER and 5 walks. I think this is more of a coin flip 50/50 game so I’m going to take the +140 side as that only has to win 35% of the time to be profitable for us.
BALT/NYM OVER 9.0 RUNS – This is baffling to me as the line opened at 10 runs and has moved all the way down to 9 runs already. We have this projected at 11.8 runs with NYM winning 6.4 to 5.4. Both teams hold a wRC+ over 100 for their current home/away and vs. pitcher hand. John Means has an ERA of 8.10 with an xFIP of 6.08 and allowing a .293 batting average facing a red hot Mets team putting up 5.4 runs per game over the last 14 days. Means has also allowed 6 ER in his last 9.1 innings. Wacha has a 7.20 ERA and allowing a horrible 1.75 whip and .322 batting average. He has allowed 16 ERs in his last 12 innings of work. How did the over go down a run? I must be missing something. In the last 3 games BAL has scored 5, 6 and 6 runs and NYM have scored 8, 14 and 5. Over 9??? I’ll toss a couple units on it.
SEA/SFG OVER 9.0 RUNS – I like totals because you don’t have to worry about the juice. Here we have a hot SFG team facing a decent pitcher and then a crappy pitcher facing a weak team, what could go wrong??? SFG rank 3rd in L10 game power rankings and 8th in runs per game over the last 14 days at 5.8 and rank 2nd in team batting average, wRC+ and OBISO. They are facing Ljay Newsome who looks decent on paper with 7.0 innings, 2 ER and 5 Ks with no walks. He has a BABIP of only .200 so he is going to regress and I think SFG can get to him tonight. Then on the other side we have Logan Webb who has given up 9 ER in his last 9.0 innings with 4 walks. He has a 4.71 ERA and allowing a .266 average facing a team that has put up 8, 4, 5 and 6 runs in their last 4 games. Our model has this game projected at 10.2 runs. Total opened at 8.5 and has moved to 9.0 with 92% of the bets.
DODGERS (-250) OVER ARI – I don’t bet games straight up that are over -200 odds so this is a good one you can mix into a parlay. Our model has LAD winning by 2 runs and so does Vegas so we agree! Walker Buehler if you read my DFS write up is a stud with a 3.60 ERA, 0.97 whip and allowing a low .173 batting average to opponent hitters. He has been getting better with his last 2 starts combining for 11.0 innings with 1 ER and 17 strikeouts. Actually, I just noticed his last start was vs. this same ARI team and he went 6.0 innings, 0 ER and 6 strikeouts. LAD has the #1 ranked bullpen behind him. ARI has also faced him for a total of 93 Abs and they are hitting only .215 off him with a 29% strikeout rate. ARI is 25th in our L10 game power rankings and bottom 3 in all of our team stats. LAD is 9th in our power rankings and they are top 10 in 3 of the 4 team stats. LAD faced Luke Waver and the 25th ranked bullpen. The bullpen alone has an xFIP of 4.98 with a 1.57 whip and allowing 1.52 H9. Weaver is a solid pitcher who finished last year with a 2.94 ERA and allowed a .227 batting average. This year he has a 7.44 ERA and allowing a .304 average. His BABIP of .374 indicate he has been “unlucky” for the most part on balls in play so that is likely to come down but these Dodgers are just to much!
RECAP & THOUGHTS:
I haven't made my bets for the day but looking at something like a White Sox / Giants over 9 / Dodgers parlay and might add in another one with CLE. My long shot hits are going to be mixing in this DET +140 game and the other over for a larger parlay. I always wait for starting lineups because if you bet the Dodgers at a whopping line and then find out Mookie and Bellinger are sitting you are F'd.
Thanks for reading & Good Luck Everyone,
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

MLB (Main Slate) Breakdown - Thursday, September 10th, 2020

MLB Stacks & Plays from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
MLB Blitz continues into Red Thursday where my Chiefs open the season against the Houston Texans! Sorry there was not article yesterday I felt awful and have some kind of an ear infection and extremely dizzy. It’s like being intoxicated without drinking. Today I think I’m on the up swing as I went to the Dr. and got some steroids to help drain the fluid. Let’s jump into this main slate!
PITCHERS I AM LOOKING AT:
GERRIT COLE – Only pitcher on the main slate today over 10k. Cole has been up and down this year but coming off a 27.9 DK point start vs. this same BAL team where he went 6.0 innings, 1 ER and 10 strikeouts. Cole has the highest swinging strike rate on the slate at 16.8% and the next closest person is Paddack at only 12.4%. In 62 team Abs vs. Cole BAL is hitting only 0.177 with a 31% strikeout rate. BAL is “hot” rightnow ranking 4th in our L10 game power rankings but Cole is just too much for them.
SONNY GRAY – He isn’t that much cheaper than Cole so I don’t see any reason to pivot down if you have the salary to spend. He is coming off a -13.3 DK point start where STL tagged him for 6 ER in 0.2 innings. Prior to that start he had 19 and 17 DK points so I think 9600 is too much for the risk. On a positive note if you are on the Gray train he did face this Cubs team on 7/29 and put up his highest DK point performance of the year with 39.2 DK points going 6.2 innings with 0 ER and 11 strikeouts. Can he do it again? He has also faced this team for 100 Abs and they are only hitting a low .110 off him with a 32% strikeout rate. GPP only for me but his track records vs. Cubbies is impeccable!
ADBERT ALZOLAY – Here is your GPP play today. He wasn’t in my write up and I looked over him and my first thought was his price tag is way too high and he walks to many hitters. So that is perfect for a GPP play! After digging in I am intrigued on him as a play today. His last outing (I say outing because I don’t know if it was a start or out of the pen) he went 2.2 innings, gave up 2 ER and walked 5 batters. Wow that is ugly! However, prior to that he went 1.0 with 2 Ks, 5.0 with 0 ER and 6 Ks and then 2.0 with 1 ER and 1K. So we have limited innings to look at but some have been really good. He has a 2.08 ERA but his xFIP is 3.96 which is slightly better than average. His K9 rate is insane at 12.5 this year and allowing a .167 batting average. Typically, I would expect his BABIP to be really low for those stats but it is .263 so slightly lower than average but nothing crazy. Plus look at this soft matchup vs. CIN who ranks 28th in our L10 power rankings, 27th in runs per game, 28th in team batting average (.220) and 23rd in wRC+ all over the last 14 days.
KEEGAN AKIN – He has a tough matchup against a NYY team that is starting to heat up but he is priced at a low 6700 on DK so falls into our “punt” category. His last two starts were 23.8 DK points and it was facing this NYY team where he went 5.1 innings, 0 ER and 8 strikeouts. The start before was 19 DK points and he went 4.1 innings, 0 ER and 6 strikeouts. Prior to that it appears he was working out of the pen. So in two starts he has 9.2 innings, 0 ER and 14 strikeouts, yes please! Allowing a 0.174 batting average and facing guys like Gary Sanchez (.122 avg), Brett Gardner (.165), Mike Ford (.139), Aaron Hicks (.209) why not? Our model actually has BAL winning this game, that might be a stretch but BAL is +230 so they only need to win a small percentage of the time.
SANDY ALCANTARA – Alcantara faces PHI today so we want to look and see if he has faced them already this year and the answer is YES! So how did he do? He went 6.2 innings, 1 ER and 7 Ks for 28 DK points. Priced at 6600 today that is pushing 5x value. I use terms of “X” value because Cole won’t be close to 5x. That would mean Cole at 10,000 (which he is slightly over 10k today) would need 10,000 x 5 = 50+ DK points. 3 of his last 4 starts have been stellar outings putting up 28, -2, 28 and 18 DK points. His BABIP of .214 is really low and that worries me that we might have a “blow up” spot soon but with 3 of his last 4 starts pushing 5x value on a shorter slate he has to be in the player pool.
STACKS TO CONSIDER:
DODGERS VS. MAD BUM (25TH BULLPEN) – Poor Mad Bum getting shelled this year and that is putting it lightly. His high this year in terms of DK points is 14.4 points and that was on 7/29. His last 3 starts he put up 6.0, -7 and -7.5 DK points. In those 3 starts he has only lasted a combined 10.1 innings and gave up 14 ERs and only managed 6 Ks. LAD comes in ranking 7th in our L10 game power rankings and they have faced Mad Bum for 176 team Abs and hitting a solid .318 off him with 8 HRs. I like anyone in this lineup to plug into your other stacks. AJ Pollock is hitting .290 on the year and holds a .407 wOBA vs. LHP and vs. Mad Bum specifically he is 18 for 63 (.286) with 3 HRs. KiKi Hernandez is 25 for 50 (.500) with 4 HRs, Wow! That is insane! Hitting .500 off a pitcher through 50 Abs. Pollock is only 3900 and KiKi is only 3500. Muncy and Taylor have both struggled vs. Mad Bum hitting .182 and .130 with 10+ Abs. I like Mookie / Seager / Pollock / KiKi and then fitting in a 4th of your choice that is affordable.
MIAMI MARLINS VS. JAKE ARRIETA (30TH BULLPEN) – So I want to get at least one lineup with Cole & Sonny Gray so that means I need to find a cheap stack that has some potential. Marlins are where I’m looking today as Vegas has them projected at 4.6 runs and our model has them a 5.0 and they are DIRT CHEAP! They are a middle of the road team trying to make a move. Now let’s start looking at Jake Arrieta who has been up and down. He is coming off a terrific start of 7.0 innings, 2 ER and 7 Ks vs. a tough NYM team and he was even on the road. His start before he was -16.4 points and only lasted 1.1 innings and gave up 7 ERs with NO strikeouts. So which Jake are we going to see? Even if he has a good start the bullpen is awful with an xFIP of 4.88, whip of 1.89 and allowing a .328 batting average. Think about that! The bullpen for PHILLY is allowing a batting average of .328, that is just horrible! The H9 is also 2.24 which is one of the highest in the entire MLB. In 83 team Abs they are hitting .337 off Arrieta with a 22% strikeout rate. Corey Dickerson (3000 – crazy cheap!) is 6 for 14 off Arrieta, Matt Joyce (2100 – is that priced correct? My god that is low.) is 7 for 21 with a HR and Miguel Rojas (3400) is 5 for 14 also with a HR. Cooper (3100) is 0 for 5 but he is red hot right now with 14 and 21 DK points in his last two games and 75% of games over the last 12 days he is hitting at least 2x.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS. TREVOR CAHILL (23RD BULLPEN) – I like stacking this game. Padres are #1 in our L10 game power rankings, 2nd in runs per game (6.7), 1st in team batting average (.305) and 2nd in OBISO and 2nd in wRC+ over the last 14 days. What makes my system so much easier is having my MLB Cheat Sheet where I can quickly see game stats and project how a game will play out. It is helpful for DFS and Sports Betting. Cahill has a 5.98 ERA and allowing a .273 batting average. He had some arm discomfort so his last two starts were only 2.2 and 3.1 innings as they are trying not to put too much strain on him. In his last 3 starts they were all vs. ARI he has 11.1 innings, 4 ERs and 14 strikeouts. Now ARI is hardly a power house team and they rank 23rd in our power ranking and as of today they are 30th in runs per game, team batting average, team OBISO and wRC+ over the last 14 days. Padres are an entirely new animal he will have to face!
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS. CHRIS PADDACK (12TH BULLPEN) – Paddack is a great pitcher and ended last year with a 3.33 ERA and allowing a .204 batting average in 140.2 innings. Awesome! However, this year is a different story as he sits with a 4.75 ERA and allowing a .270 batting average. His xFIP indicates his ERA should be closer to 3.71. He is up and down in his starts coming off a 4.2 inning, 4 ER outing u/OAK. Prior to that start he hd a solid 29.9 DK point start @ COL of all places and went 6.0 innings, 0 ER and 8 strikeouts. His 3 prior starts to that he allowed 6, 1 and 6 ERs. Our model has the Padres projected at 6.2 runs and Giants at 6.0 runs. Stack the game, stack the Padres, stack the Giants and let’s have some fun!
SPORTS BETTING SECTION:
I use my DFS Cheat Sheets to find sports betting picks and plays. I usually won’t give you a direct play as I want you to decide if you want to bet the money line, run line or parlay it with something else. I’ll give you the games that jump out at me and the reasoning behind it. We have been on fire this year hitting a +600 two team parlay on Saturday with Nationals +250 and over 9.5. We followed that up with a 4-0 day. Last night I didn’t have time to write anything up but posted the “over” that I liked and it won. I actually parlayed two overs with Padres RL and Dodgers RL and also hit the parlay. LAD was tied 4-4 and then scored 2 in the 10th for a cover and Padres squeaked by with a 2 run win. It was a good night when I felt like crap. Let’s look at what I have on tap for today!
GIANTS / PADRES OVER 9.0 RUNS – Vegas has this game at 9.0 runs and our model has this at 6.2 vs. 6.0 runs for a 12.2 run total. I LIKE IT! If this game is 4-4 then you are getting a “push” at worst. These teams rank #1 and #2 in our L10 game power rankings so we are going to have some offensive firepower tonight. Padres are 2nd in runs per game, 1st in team batting average, 2nd in OBISO and 2nd in wRC+ all over the last 14 days. Giants are 4th in runs per game, 2nd in team batting average, 2nd in OBSIO and also 2nd for wRC+. Both teams how lower than average team K rates at 22% and 19%. Padres faced Trevor Cahill who owns a 5.98 ERA and allowing a .273 batting average to opponent hitters. When he gets shelled then we get to tee off on the 23rd ranked bullpen with an xFIP of 5.45! My god that is horrible. Giants get to face Chris Paddack and the reason this line is 9 and not 9.5 or 10 is because of Paddack. Giants are red hot right now so I don’t expect them to suddenly stop hitting and get shut down. Paddack was a rock star last year but this year holds a 4.75 ERA with a 3.71 xFIP and allowing a .270 batting average. In 43 team Abs by the Giants against Paddack they are hitting .279 with 2 HRs. Paddack is coming off a start where he gave up 4 ER in 4.2 innings but prior to that start he had a stellar outing in COL going 6.0 with 0 ER and 8 Ks. Then his prior 3 starts he gave up 6, 1 and 6 ERs. I like the OVER here. I don’t mind a small play with Giants money line +180 parlayed with the over. If the Giants win this game WILL GET OVER the total. I don’t see value in laying -185 on the Padres vs. a team that is 8-2 in their last 10 games and 15-5 in their last 20 games and running hot. I just hope both teams score a shit ton of runs and I can’t stop watching in the 5th inning because the game is 5-5.
DODGERS -200 OVER ARIZONA – This one is the usual play here as the Dodgers are a much better team as they rank 7th in our L10 game power rankings and hold the #1 bullpen. Facing an ARI team that is giving up on the year with a 15-29 record, lost 5 straight and 1-9 in their last 10 games. If you read the DFS portion you’ll know that Mad Bum has been getting shelled giving up 2, 6 and 7 ER in his last 2 starts and those only combined for 10.1 innings. Dodgers are 9-2 vs. LHP on the year. Even after Mad Bum is out ARI holds the 25th ranked bullpen with an xFIP over 5.00, do we really need to write anymore on this? Dustin May is decent with an ERA of 2.88 and allowing a .232 batting average but either way LAD can lock the game down with the bullpen. I’ll likely lean run line for a straight play as I don’t bet game -200 straight up.
BALTIMORE +230 over NYY – First hear me out because people are going flip when they see that I’m making a play against their NYY. With +230 odds you only need this game to win a small percentage of the time. NYY are 3-7 in their last 10 games and 6-14 in their last 20 games. BAL isn’t a powerhouse but they just beat COLE last week with a score of 6-1. They loss to the NYM last time out 7-6 in a tight game and their prior 4 games they won beating NYM 11-2, NYY 5-1, NYY again 6-1 and NYY 6-3. They beat Tanaka and Cole in two of those. NYY won against TOR 7-2 but prior to that they have only scored 1, 7, 1 and 1 runs. You don’t have to bet this straight up at +230 but I’d mix the +230 into a small parlay and hope to get lucky. I will point out that NYY are 8-14 on the road but they return home where they hold a 14-7 record. BAL ranks 4th in our L10 game power rankings and NYY are 27th. I’m sure not going to lay -260 on NYY right now.
MIAMI +100 OVER PHILLY – Our model has this game as MIA winning 5.0 vs 4.7. So we have this as a close game but with Miami pulling it out. MIA ranks 18th and PHI 15th in our L10 game power rankings. Philly has been a hotter team but the bottom of the lineup is rough. This is going to come down to pitching because the bullpens are garbage ranking 28th for MIA and 30th for PHI. Jake Arrieta is coming off a great start of 7.0 innings with only 2 ER and 7 Ks but his prior start he only lasted 1.1 innings with 7 ERs and 0 strikeouts, so which Arrieta are we going to see? If it’s the ladder MIA could blow the doors off this game early! I will point out that Corey Dickerson is 6 for 14 off Arrieta and Matt Joyce 7 for 21 and Miguel Rojas 5 for 14. In 83 team Abs they are hitting .337 off Arrieta. Sandy Alcantara is in a much better spot in my opinion. 2 starts ago he got roughed up a little giving up 5 ER to Tampa Bay in 4.0 innings but his last start and two prior were great. He is coming off 6.0 innings, 1 ER and 8 strikeouts u/TB so he got his redemption. His 3rd and 4th recent tarts were a combined 11.2 innings, 2 ER and 11 strikeouts. He also just faced PHI on the road on 7/24 and went 6.2 innings, 1 ER and 7 strikeouts.
Thanks for reading,
Haze
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08/20 - Special Release + MAC Attack Plays: UFC, MLB, NBA

08/20 - Special Release + MAC Attack Plays: UFC, MLB, NBA
MAC's Top Rated Early Info Play:
08/22-11:00PM UFC FIGHT NIGHT: @ UFC APEX - LAS VEGAS,NV
Ovince Saint Preux +105 vs Alonzo Menifield -135
Play: Ovince Saint Preux +105 (+15 UNITS)
08/20 -MLB MAC ATTACK Plays:
Cincinnati at St. Louis
Play: Under 8.5 (+10 Units)
MAC is playing the pitchers, Wainwright is a stud and Sonny Gray has 45 strike outs and a 2.05 ERA this year! Look for a 2-0 win after a quick 9 tomorrow!
Quick Trends
Under is 19-6-1 in Reds last 26 Thursday games.
Under is 9-3 in Reds last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 9-3 in Reds last 12 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
08/20 -NBA MAC ATTACK Plays:
Portland vs L.A. Lakers
Play: UNDER 229 (+5 UNITS)
Shop the books for a better line, the odds makers opened this total at 226.5 and it quickly jumped to 229 showing strength on the over money coming in! MAC is watching the trends and to expect a washed up Lakers team score more than 110 would be silly!
Quick Trends
Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 42-19 in Lakers last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
MAC’s Picks on Patreon
submitted by Lester6ClipscCullen to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

[USA] [H] Consoles, Controllers, LONG List of Games! [W] PayPal

All prices include shipping to the US (with the exception of Hawaii and Alaska).
I always give discounts on purchases of multiple games/consoles. Feel free to make your own offer on multiple items. The only prices that aren't negotiable are individual items.
If you are from Canada, I can ship for the exact cost of shipping. Beyond Canada, I do not ship internationally at this time.
This post is organized as follows. There's a TON here, so please check out everything, as items can be easy to miss!
Feel free to ask for detailed pictures on anything! Pictures for a lot of items are hyperlinked throughout the post. If you want more photos on any items, just ask! I'm honestly cool with taking as many photos as you'd like.
https://imgur.com/a/VEbXaZH
1) Consoles/Console Bundles
Consoles are all tested thoroughly and working. ALL consoles listed have all cords needed to play right away
Nintendo
Sega
Sony
XBOX
2) Controllers/Accessories
Controllers are all OEM and tested thoroughly. Any defects are noted.
Gamecube
Playstation
Playstation 2
Sega Dreamcast
Sega Genesis
Sega Saturn
Wii/Wii U
XBOX
XBOX 360
3) Games
Games are CIB, unless otherwise noted. Games are all working great, and condition of games ranges from good to like new. As a precaution, assume discs and cases will show normal wear. Feel free to ask for pictures of any game(s)!
You can get any two games listed at $5.25 or $6 for $9 total. Those games can also can be bundled in bulk in the Build-Your-Own-Bundle Section at the bottom of this post.
Gamecube
N64
CIB
Game and Box
Game Only
NES
Carts only unless otherwise noted
Click Here for Photos
Nintendo DS
Loose Games
Nintendo 3DS
Playstation
Click Here for Photos
Playstation 2
Playstation 3
Sega CD
Sega Dreamcast
Sega Genesis
Games are cart only unless otherwise noted
Click Here for Photos
SNES Carts
Click Here for Photos
Wii
Wii U
XBOX
XBOX 360
5) Factory Sealed Games
Playstation
Playstation 2
Playstation 3
Wii
XBOX
XBOX 360
5) Build Your Own Commons Bundles (designed for completionist collectors)
*I have a lot of respect for people who go for complete and near-complete sets of games, and I want to help other collectors check off common games in bulk. Of all the games above priced at $5.25 or $6, you can build any custom bundle from these options: *
6) Strategy Guides Amiibos and Art Books
Strategy Guides
Pictures here
New books are still sealed, although the seals themselves may have a few a holes (as is the case with almost all sealed books)
Art Books
7) Manuals and Cases
(I know $5 is steep on some of these, but it's the lowest I can go without losing money from shipping and fees; feel free to make aggressive bundle offers with these!)
Manuals
Gameboy
Gamecube
N64
PS2
Sega 32x
Sega Genesis
Wii
Loose Cases/Boxes
Playstation 2
submitted by arandomuzzerame to GameSale [link] [comments]

[USA] [H] Consoles, Controllers, LONG List of Handheld and Console Games [W] PayPal

All prices include shipping to the US (with the exception of Hawaii and Alaska).
I always give discounts on purchases of multiple games/consoles. Feel free to make your own offer on multiple items. The only prices that aren't negotiable are individual items.
This post is organized as follows. There's a TON here, so please check out everything, as items can be easy to miss!
Feel free to ask for detailed pictures on anything! Pictures for a lot of items are hyperlinked throughout the post. If you want more photos on any items, just ask! I'm honestly cool with taking as many photos as you'd like.
https://imgur.com/a/IsZu5w0
1) Consoles/Console Bundles
Consoles are all tested thoroughly and working. ALL consoles listed have all cords needed to play right away
Nintendo
Sega
Sony
2) Controllers/Accessories
Controllers are all OEM and tested thoroughly. Any defects are noted.
Gamecube
Playstation
Playstation 2
Sega Dreamcast
Sega Genesis
Sega Saturn
Wii/Wii U
XBOX
XBOX 360
3) Games
Games are CIB, unless otherwise noted. Games are all working great, and condition of games ranges from good to like new. As a precaution, assume discs and cases will show normal wear. Feel free to ask for pictures of any game(s)!
You can get any two games listed at $5.25 or $6 for $9 total. Those games can also can be bundled in bulk in the Build-Your-Own-Bundle Section at the bottom of this post.
Gameboy Advance (Game Only)
All $5 handheld games are buy one get one free
Gameboy ColoGameboy (Game Only)
All $5 games are buy one get one free
Gamecube
N64
CIB
Game and Box
Game Only
NES
CIB
Carts Only
Click Here for Photos
Nintendo DS
Loose Games
Nintendo 3DS
Playstation
Playstation 2
Playstation 3
Sega CD
Sega Dreamcast
Sega Genesis
Games are cart only unless otherwise noted
Click Here for Photos
SNES Carts
Click Here for Photos
Wii
Wii U
XBOX
XBOX 360
5) Factory Sealed Games
Playstation
Playstation 2
Playstation 3
Wii
XBOX
XBOX 360
5) Build Your Own Commons Bundles (designed for completionist collectors)
*I have a lot of respect for people who go for complete and near-complete sets of games, and I want to help other collectors check off common games in bulk. Of all the games above priced at $5.25 or $6, you can build any custom bundle from these options: *
6) Amiibos, Collector's Items, Strategy Guides, and Art Books
Amiibos
Collector Items
Please note that while all other prices reflect shipping cost, the prices for collector's items do *not include shipping, since they are so big.*
Strategy Guides
New books are still sealed, although the seals themselves may have a few a holes (as is the case with almost all sealed books)
Art Books
7) Manuals
(I know $5 is steep on some of these, but it's the lowest I can go without losing money from shipping and fees; feel free to make aggressive bundle offers with these!)
Manuals
Gameboy
Gamecube
N64
PS2
Sega 32x
Sega Genesis
submitted by arandomuzzerame to GameSale [link] [comments]

How James Loses: The Most Realistic Scenario

The year is 2024. James has been a contestant on Jeopardy for over 5 seasons. Due to the amount of money he won after over his first full season, investors lost confidence in Sony to stay afloat, sending the companies stock price into a downfall. This lead to the company being acquired by Disney for peanuts. With this new capital, Disney began looking into new ventures to expand even further. In 2021, they announced their plans to turn "Disney's Wide World of Sports" into "Disney's Wide Universe of Sports". This effort was spearheaded by Disney purchasing the MLB and all 32 of its professional baseball teams. Classic franchises were converted to promotions for Disney's world famous IPs. The day that the James beloved Chicago Cubs announced they were being re-branded as the Chicago Small "Baloo"s, he recorded his lowest score of $20,000. However, it would soon become clear that James' sentimental attachment to sport's franchises would not be the only thing hurt, his financial stakes in athletics were next to be targeted.
After acquiring the NFL in 2022, President Bob Iger decided that sports needed to have a better narrative. A team of scriptwriters was assembled to write season 1 of the NFL. It was full of comebacks, missed field goals, hail mary plays, and a lot of singing mascots. At first, this predictable plot structure was good for James. He would always pick the franchise named after the good guy, and this strategy never let him down. In Super Duper Bowl LVII he picked the Orlando Mickey’s to beat the Chicago Lots-O-Huggin Bears and doubled everything he had. This was the game that led to Vegas ultimately closing down all betting lines on sports, as they no longer had the edge.
James figured he would be okay. Jeopardy had yet to pay him his $64 million in earnings as his contract stated he would be paid upon losing. He had already donated most of his money to Las Vegas area charities, and was slowly watching his bank account drain. He approached many investors to give him a loan so that he could continue on the show, but this opened him up to an interesting paradox. If the investors gave him money, he would never lose and would thus never get his money from the show and be able to pay the investors back. However, if they didn’t invest, he would have to quit the show and would then be able to pay the investors.
James then approached Disney to renegotiate his contract and see if they would be interested in putting him on salary to keep him on the show. However, due to James’ domination on the show, not many smart people saw appearing on the show as a good opportunity, and thus James began to dominate even more. If he were to remain on the show, they would have to pay salary and future prize earnings, but if he had to leave they would only have to pay a fraction. They would take a ratings hit, but this would be offset by replacing Alex Trebek with America’s sweetheart, Stephen A. Smith.
James realized the predicament he was in. Professional sports gambling was no longer the safe and prosperous career that we all used to think it was. He had no means to gain outside capital, and it seemed like Jeopardy wanted him out anyway. He headed to the studio ready to tape what would be win #1000.
He walked into the studio, shook hands with his fellow contestants Wolf Blitzer and the kid who misspelled “Emancipation Proclamation”, and headed out to the stage. Stephen A. Smith walked onto the stage, did not thank Johnny, ranted for a few minutes about why the Dallas Woody’s sucked, and then announced the categories. James quickly sprung into action, taking the 15 highest point values to give him a total of $12,600 at the first Disney Upcoming Films break. As he answered the next 13 questions, his anticipation grew as he had not yet hit the first daily double. There were two remaining $200 clues left on the board. He picked the one in the top left corner, using his Jeopardy sabermetrics that told him Daily Doubles were not traditionally in the left-most column.
The clue sprung onto the screen. He could feel his heartbeat out of his chest.
It wasn’t the daily double. He took a sigh of relief. Stephen A. Smith read out the clue, “This modern day company began the 24 hour news cycle”. James knew the answer. He went to click his buzzer, but right when Stephen A. Smith finished the clue, he began to go straight into a rant about how in his prime he could have posterized MJ in his prime. Due to buzzing in too early, James would be locked out, and his perfect game would be in… Jeopardy.
“Wolf Blitzer, we go to you,” said Stephen A. Smith. James sank.
“What is CNN?” he asked/answered.
However, James had read the news that morning and knew this was incorrect. He began vigorously buzzing in.
“That is incorrect, James we go to you.”
“What is Disney/CNN?”
“Correct, and the next one will be the Daily Double”
James went for the true daily double and nailed it. The next round came and as he answered more and more questions, he realized that the two remaining daily doubles would be in the $400 row. After getting both of them, Stephen A. Smith made note that a perfect game would be possible if he bet everything on Final Jeopardy, but this was still not comparable to Brady’s 10 championship rings.
The lights dimmed, and James was alone on the stage. The category was “Famous Dates”. James had memorized the entire chronology of the universe in preparation for the show, so he went all in. The clue was then read:
“The day that shall live in infamy”
James gave a sigh of relief and wrote down 12/07/1941, the date of the attack on Pearl Harbor. He chuckled to himself, not because Pearl Harbor was funny, but because it was amazing how it all came full circle. He would always write his bets based on important dates, and now an important date would be the end to his perfect game, and legacy on Jeopardy. It was something you couldn’t write.
Suddenly James’ eyes opened wide. This was something you could write. He quickly realized this was all a setup. Disney knew this was his last game and were trying to set up the perfect ending. James quickly scratched out his answer and wrote down the date of his first taping day.
The music stopped and the lights again came up in the studio. Stephen A. Smith said, “James, you look certain of this one, let’s see what you wrote down.”
His answer came up, and the audience gasped.
Stephen A. Smith began to stammer, “James, that is incorrect, I don’t understand…”
James smiled at him and said, “Kebert Xela.”
A violent wind broke out in the studio and a vortex opened on the clue screen. The audience and crew began to evacuate the building, but James calmy approached the portal. He put his hand through the portal and felt no turbulence on the other side.
“A strange game,” he said.
“The only winning move is not to play.”
He stepped through the screen. He found himself in the studio, but there was no wind, and instead the only chaos was the crew members looking for the third contestant. One man ran over to him and asked if he was James Holzhauer. He said yes and the man told him that if he didn’t get over to his stand in the next minute he would be disqualified. He thanked the man, and instead of heading over to his podium, he walked backstage.
He walked until he got to the room that said “Alex Trebek”, and knocked on the door.
Alex opened the door and said, “They just finished touching me up, I’m coming as fast as I-” but was stopped as he saw that it was not a crew member, but instead a man that looked oddly familiar.
“Can I help you?” Alex asked, with a puzzled expression painted on his face.
“No, I think I helped the both of us. And America,” James responded with that classic smile.
“I don’t understand,” Alex said.
“I don’t really either,” James said, “but all I know is that in the time I got to know you, you went through a lot of hardship, but you came out on the other side of it, and for that reason I have the utmost respect for you. Just know that if you ever have hard news to tell people, they will understand, rally behind you, and always love you.”
Alex suddenly looked at ease, “Thank you, I actually needed to hear that right now.”
James put his hand on his shoulder and then gave him a hug.
“I’m supposed to be on the show right now, but I think I’m going to go take my daughter to the park instead,” he told Alex.
“Good for you.”
The two men went their separate ways. James walked out of the studio and felt the warmth of the sun. He felt good, however there was one thing that didn’t feel right. Those children’s charities would not get the money anymore.
Then he remembered.
He knew all the sports outcomes for the next 3 years.
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vegas odds mlb win totals video

Sportsbooks have posted new win totals based on a truncated season The over/unders range from 38.5 (.642 win percentage) to just 21.5 (.358 win percentage) After months of negotiations failed to produce a return-to-play agreement, MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred used a power granted to him in a previous March accord to unilaterally set the length of the 2020 season. The Dodgers and Yankees are the two teams with season win totals exceeding 100 games. Here are the World Series, divisional odds and over/unders for all 30 MLB teams. MLB Win Totals Odds receive plenty of attention from bettors and PointsBet, a legal online US Sportsbook, was the first to open their betting market with their oddsmakers making numbers on a 60-game schedule. The 2020 MLB Win Totals Odds can be seen below by each team, in both Ascending and Alphabetical order. Knowing how to read Vegas Odds is important to every gambler not just to place a bet, obviously, but to place a smart bet. And that’s all good gamblers want to do. They want to make smart bets, win 60-70 percent of the time, and move on to the next bet. As mentioned before, MLB regular season win totals need to be locked in prior to the Opening Day of the MLB season and don’t cash out until the season ends. That’s a long time to wait out a ... MLB Totals Report provided by VegasInsider.com, along with more baseball information for your sports gaming and betting needs. Find where to bet in your state! See Sportsbooks. Advertisement. Sportsbooks · Casinos · Get a Risk-Free Bet up to $500 with FanDuel T&Cs, 21+, NJ/PA/IN/WV/CO. FREE PICK. VEGAS ODDS. VI EXPERTS. Home. NFL . NBA. NCAA BK. NHL. Golf. Auto. UFC. Soccer. MLB. Horses ... Online sportsbooks have adjusted the 2020 MLB win totals to reflect the shortened calendar. The first table, below, sets out the new win totals for all 30 teams. Prior to the 60-game plan becoming official, sportsbooks had posted win-percentage over/unders. The second table, below, sets out those win percentages for all 30 teams, plus each team’s 2019 percentage and their 2020 projections at ... My Best Picks for 2020 MLB Win Totals. With a 60-game season, teams are going to play 40 games within their division and 20 interleague contests. This type of schedule can hinder or help teams depending on the strength of their divisional foes. Below I have two teams that I like to go OVER their win totals and one team to go UNDER. Odds To Win The World Series – Whose Odds Are Increasing? LA Dodgers. Adding multi-time All-Star outfielder Mookie Betts to the roster paid off big for the Dodgers in 2020. With Betts, Cody Bellinger, Corey Seager, and Max Muncy anchoring a strong batting order, Los Angeles won its first World Series title since 1988. All 30 MLB teams should be listed with a proposition on their prospective win totals. In a typical year, the prop usually falls between two numbers around 87.5 wins, so that a proposition pays out for “Over” bets if the team wins 88 or more games, and pays out for “Under” bets if the team wins 87 or fewer games. In a 60-game season, we should see props closer to 32.5 for most teams and ...

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vegas odds mlb win totals

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